A review of the week
I've been very busy with my other job (which, as always, is a good thing), so I only got in three days of trading.
I also had a bit of a light go on for me yesterday, so I'll be pursuing that in the coming days.
A look at the stats
I'm still passing most of the parameters in my simulated combine:
Sunday, June 16, 2013
Wednesday, June 12, 2013
Training Day 86
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Charlie
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Sitrep
Still really busy with my other work, so this post will be brief with no play by play or review. I worked with the new ideas I mentioned yesterday and got clearer about a few things.
Trades #308 - 318
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Sitrep
Still really busy with my other work, so this post will be brief with no play by play or review. I worked with the new ideas I mentioned yesterday and got clearer about a few things.
Trades #308 - 318
...
MyTraining
Tuesday, June 11, 2013
Training Day 85
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Bravo
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Sitrep
I'm really busy with my other work again, so I'm a little late with this post. I'm also only going to be able to trade a couple of hours of tomorrow's session.
Trade #303
08:31 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:31 Stopped out with slippage. -6 ticks.
Trade #304
08:32 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:34 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #305
08:39 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:41 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #306
08:42 Short. Selling into the uptrend.
08:42 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #307
08:45 Long. Bought on the pullback in the uptrend.
08:46 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Sitrep
I'm really busy with my other work again, so I'm a little late with this post. I'm also only going to be able to trade a couple of hours of tomorrow's session.
Trade #303
08:31 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:31 Stopped out with slippage. -6 ticks.
Trade #304
08:32 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:34 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #305
08:39 Long. Buying into the downtrend.
08:41 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #306
08:42 Short. Selling into the uptrend.
08:42 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #307
08:45 Long. Bought on the pullback in the uptrend.
08:46 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: 5 trades, 2 wins, 3 losses.
- Observations: I'm fading too much and what I'm doing is showing me that I don't have a solid "method" yet. The only thing that is really saving me through all of this is a fanatic adherence to my risk management plan. I have some ideas about how I'm going to proceed though.
...
MyTraining
Monday, June 10, 2013
Training Day 84
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Bravo
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #298
08:44 Long. Buying into the downtrend. Also too early.
08:45 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #299
08:46 Long. Buying into the downtrend again. Timing is better.
08:47 Trailed stop up.
08:48 Stopped out to the tick before price moved back up to hit target. -3 ticks.
Trade #300
08:51 Short. Pullback in the downtrend.
08:54 Target reached. S5 filled me with +7 ticks, but I'm recording it as a regular profit. +6 ticks.
Trade #301
09:08 Long. Buying into the downtrend again.
09:12 Stopped out to the tick before price moved back up to target level. -5 ticks.
Trade #302
09:16 Long. Buying after retest of Friday's close and after being stopped out to the tick on the previous trade.
09:21 Target reached. +6 ticks. Only down 1 tick now after 5 trades so I'm calling it a day.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #298
08:44 Long. Buying into the downtrend. Also too early.
08:45 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #299
08:46 Long. Buying into the downtrend again. Timing is better.
08:47 Trailed stop up.
08:48 Stopped out to the tick before price moved back up to hit target. -3 ticks.
Trade #300
08:51 Short. Pullback in the downtrend.
08:54 Target reached. S5 filled me with +7 ticks, but I'm recording it as a regular profit. +6 ticks.
Trade #301
09:08 Long. Buying into the downtrend again.
09:12 Stopped out to the tick before price moved back up to target level. -5 ticks.
Trade #302
09:16 Long. Buying after retest of Friday's close and after being stopped out to the tick on the previous trade.
09:21 Target reached. +6 ticks. Only down 1 tick now after 5 trades so I'm calling it a day.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: 5 trades, 2 winners, small loss for the day.
- Observations: I fought the short term trend on all but one of my trades today.
...
MyTraining
Sunday, June 9, 2013
Simulated TopstepTrader Combine
I created my own TST Combine stats grid awhile back when I was trying to trade M6E/6E. When I switched back to ES last month, I thought my current "style" of trading wouldn't come close to fitting into the TST required parameters so I didn't even look into it.
But lately I've been working diligently on my attitude and the way I'm approaching my trading business, and TST can be another valuable option for traders like me. So I decided to work on my trade log spreadsheet and see how my current trading is comparing to the TST requirements.
It has taken me most of the morning to get a stat grid built and clean up errors, but what I discovered surprised me.
I decided to use stats beginning with my return to ES (05/22/2013) and I've initially chosen the 30K/10Day combine parameters to work with.
At this point I appear to be meeting all of the requirements except the profit target. And with 10 trading days left, it would also appear that I could actually reach that target.
This is very good news, because it opens up another possible option for me moving forward.
I'll continue to track the results of my trading against these parameters, and if I can't meet the 30/10 profit target in time, I'll change to the 30/20 combine parameters and see if I can meet those.
If I don't discover any ridiculous errors in my calculations, and if I can actually meet the parameters of the combine(s), then I will seriously consider putting a plan together to do a real combine at some point.
I'll have to see how this goes.
But lately I've been working diligently on my attitude and the way I'm approaching my trading business, and TST can be another valuable option for traders like me. So I decided to work on my trade log spreadsheet and see how my current trading is comparing to the TST requirements.
It has taken me most of the morning to get a stat grid built and clean up errors, but what I discovered surprised me.
I decided to use stats beginning with my return to ES (05/22/2013) and I've initially chosen the 30K/10Day combine parameters to work with.
At this point I appear to be meeting all of the requirements except the profit target. And with 10 trading days left, it would also appear that I could actually reach that target.
This is very good news, because it opens up another possible option for me moving forward.
I'll continue to track the results of my trading against these parameters, and if I can't meet the 30/10 profit target in time, I'll change to the 30/20 combine parameters and see if I can meet those.
If I don't discover any ridiculous errors in my calculations, and if I can actually meet the parameters of the combine(s), then I will seriously consider putting a plan together to do a real combine at some point.
I'll have to see how this goes.
...
MyTraining
Saturday, June 8, 2013
Weekend Review and Stats
A review of the week
On Monday I was still working on developing my approach so I took quite a few trades, but by Tuesday I had gotten a little clearer about how I wanted to handle things and I applied that for the rest of the week.
I find myself leaning more toward focusing on having profitable days by taking a few trades, as opposed to trading all day. In my mind there are arguments for both ways, but I'm doing what I feel most comfortable with right now.
More importantly, improving my attitude - what I think about and how I'm thinking about it - is continuing to be my main focus.
A look at the stats
I had a higher drawdown than usual due to my trading on Monday, but still finished the week with a good (sim) profit.
Interestingly (to me anyway) my expectancy is in an uptrend.
On Monday I was still working on developing my approach so I took quite a few trades, but by Tuesday I had gotten a little clearer about how I wanted to handle things and I applied that for the rest of the week.
I find myself leaning more toward focusing on having profitable days by taking a few trades, as opposed to trading all day. In my mind there are arguments for both ways, but I'm doing what I feel most comfortable with right now.
More importantly, improving my attitude - what I think about and how I'm thinking about it - is continuing to be my main focus.
A look at the stats
I had a higher drawdown than usual due to my trading on Monday, but still finished the week with a good (sim) profit.
Interestingly (to me anyway) my expectancy is in an uptrend.
Friday, June 7, 2013
Training Day 83
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Bravo
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #296
08:37 Long. Fortunately my entry/timing was good because price only exceeded my target by 1 tick before turning back down.
08:39 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #297
08:51 Long. This entry was much better. I entered on the pullback after the test of the 50% area of the NFP pre-market spike, which was also 50% of the overnight range.
08:53 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #296
08:37 Long. Fortunately my entry/timing was good because price only exceeded my target by 1 tick before turning back down.
08:39 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #297
08:51 Long. This entry was much better. I entered on the pullback after the test of the 50% area of the NFP pre-market spike, which was also 50% of the overnight range.
08:53 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: 2 trades, 2 wins. I'm happy to end the week this way.
- Observations: Yesterday I made a distinction about the interaction of the different timeframes I'm watching, and employed that distinction today. It's helping me to enter a bit better and have more confidence about my entries.
...
MyTraining
Thursday, June 6, 2013
Training Day 82
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Alpha
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #293
08:38 Short.
08:40 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #294
08:41 Short.
08:46 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #295
08:47 Short.
08:52 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #293
08:38 Short.
08:40 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #294
08:41 Short.
08:46 Stopped out. -5 ticks.
Trade #295
08:47 Short.
08:52 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: 3 trades, only 1 winner.
- Observations: I took 3 stabs in the same direction. I was only willing to take 3 losses and when I got the winner I was happy to only be down a few ticks on the day. I'll try again tomorrow.
...
MyTraining
Wednesday, June 5, 2013
Training Day 81
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Alpha
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #291
08:34 Short.
08:36 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #292
08:50 Short.
08:53 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #291
08:34 Short.
08:36 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #292
08:50 Short.
08:53 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: 2 trades, 2 wins.
- Observations: My "hypothesis" on the first trade was "wrong," but my standard trade management still allowed it to be a winning trade. Second trade was a better call.
...
MyTraining
Tuesday, June 4, 2013
Training Day 80
Mission Plan: Sierra.2013.06.Alpha
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #290
09:06 Long.
09:11 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #290
09:06 Long.
09:11 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Follow my mission plan and do the best I can with what I've learned so far.
- Outcome: Only took 1 trade today for a winner.
- Observations: I did all the right things on this trade. I waited for price to reach an extreme along with my other charts and indicators.
...
MyTraining
Monday, June 3, 2013
Training Day 79
Mission Plan: In development
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
The format of today's Training Day post will be a little different than usual.
I took 10 trades today (#280 through #289). Some were taken at inappropriate times. Some were managed inappropriately. One was a lucky winner. Two were well-planned winners.
Although my trading was messy, I found today fascinating. How can a messy day be fascinating?
It was fascinating because I was able to see very clearly what I was doing wrong as I was doing it. No, it didn't stop me from doing it, but my ability to see what was going on was enhanced.
And it was enhanced because I wasn't judging what I was doing and what was going on, I was observing what I was doing and what was going on.
And all of this is due to a very different attitude that I have about things right now. I mentioned this weekend that I would be spending June in a similar way as May by focusing on improving my attitude, and yesterday I had an experience that gave me a lot of clarity about how I will be approaching the task of improving my attitude for the time being.
It's been a good day.
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
The format of today's Training Day post will be a little different than usual.
I took 10 trades today (#280 through #289). Some were taken at inappropriate times. Some were managed inappropriately. One was a lucky winner. Two were well-planned winners.
Although my trading was messy, I found today fascinating. How can a messy day be fascinating?
It was fascinating because I was able to see very clearly what I was doing wrong as I was doing it. No, it didn't stop me from doing it, but my ability to see what was going on was enhanced.
And it was enhanced because I wasn't judging what I was doing and what was going on, I was observing what I was doing and what was going on.
And all of this is due to a very different attitude that I have about things right now. I mentioned this weekend that I would be spending June in a similar way as May by focusing on improving my attitude, and yesterday I had an experience that gave me a lot of clarity about how I will be approaching the task of improving my attitude for the time being.
It's been a good day.
...
MyTraining
Sunday, June 2, 2013
Saturday, June 1, 2013
Weekend Review and Stats
My attitude
I mentioned in a previous Weekend Update post that I was focused on making my attitude the top priority for the month of May. I've done that. There have been some lower points, but overall I have lifted my attitude higher than usual for the majority of this month. As a result (I believe) I've had things working out in my favor more than usual. It has affected my personal life as well as my business. In fact, the amount of paying work that came in for my business was greater than it has been in months - without any extra effort on my part (other than just doing the work).
I intend to do something similar for the month of June. This time it will have to do with gratitude. I did this a few months ago and had very good results - it makes me wonder why I stop. Anyway that will be the focus of my attitude for this month.
An update on my trading in general
Over the past two weeks I feel like I've gotten back on track despite the fact that I seem to be trading more on "context" than on "setups." It's a little difficult to explain, even to myself. But out of sheer frustration in attempting to find hard and fast "setups" or "rules" to follow, I began to just "watch what the market was doing," especially at levels I've deemed important. Then I used my indicators to help support or reject my ideas, as well as to help me enter "better" than I might without them.
Much of this approach has come from contemplating how I would like to trade and making some decisions about that. As a result I've opened my mind up to some somewhat different ways of looking at the market and approaching my trading.
The combination of these things is also changing the way I feel about my trading. I've gained an unusual calmness and confidence about the future of my trading in general.
I've also gained a different feeling about each trade and what the market is doing in the moment. I'm feeling less of a revenge mentality. Less "I'm putting on a trade here because the market should do x, and if it doesn't, then I'm going to be pissed."
I'm feeling more things like, "this looks like it's turning out to be a good spot, price is reacting here, my indicators look good, take the trade."
I'm not trying to quantify everything in an attempt to write a manual (or trading plan) about it. I'm also not trying to make other hard and fast rules like "only n trades per day," or "$n profit per day," or "only n hours of trading per day." I still have hard and fast rules about my stops and my daily loss limit, but I'm working more on developing my abilities rather than trying to develop a system.
A review of the trading week
In May I bounced around quite a bit between markets and trading styles trying to find the "right thing" for me. I don't like to be scattered and/or inconsistent, but I think it helped me to see what does seem a little more "right" for me. And that seems to be the basic concept that started this whole exercise. So I'm back to trading the ES in a similar way as before.
This may not end up being the "right thing," but for now it's what makes the most sense to me and the thing that I feel the most confidence in. Although I know how long a month of trading can really be now, I'm planning to be consistent with this basic methodology for the month of June to see what I can learn and accomplish.
This past week I didn't try to force myself to "take every setup," but instead took a few trades each day when I thought I had an idea of what price might be trying to do. I made some changes to the indicators/indexes I'm watching and the timeframes of some of my charts.
I feel like I'm creating some structure now with regard to my trading business and my trading style.
I mentioned in a previous Weekend Update post that I was focused on making my attitude the top priority for the month of May. I've done that. There have been some lower points, but overall I have lifted my attitude higher than usual for the majority of this month. As a result (I believe) I've had things working out in my favor more than usual. It has affected my personal life as well as my business. In fact, the amount of paying work that came in for my business was greater than it has been in months - without any extra effort on my part (other than just doing the work).
I intend to do something similar for the month of June. This time it will have to do with gratitude. I did this a few months ago and had very good results - it makes me wonder why I stop. Anyway that will be the focus of my attitude for this month.
An update on my trading in general
Over the past two weeks I feel like I've gotten back on track despite the fact that I seem to be trading more on "context" than on "setups." It's a little difficult to explain, even to myself. But out of sheer frustration in attempting to find hard and fast "setups" or "rules" to follow, I began to just "watch what the market was doing," especially at levels I've deemed important. Then I used my indicators to help support or reject my ideas, as well as to help me enter "better" than I might without them.
Much of this approach has come from contemplating how I would like to trade and making some decisions about that. As a result I've opened my mind up to some somewhat different ways of looking at the market and approaching my trading.
The combination of these things is also changing the way I feel about my trading. I've gained an unusual calmness and confidence about the future of my trading in general.
I've also gained a different feeling about each trade and what the market is doing in the moment. I'm feeling less of a revenge mentality. Less "I'm putting on a trade here because the market should do x, and if it doesn't, then I'm going to be pissed."
I'm feeling more things like, "this looks like it's turning out to be a good spot, price is reacting here, my indicators look good, take the trade."
I'm not trying to quantify everything in an attempt to write a manual (or trading plan) about it. I'm also not trying to make other hard and fast rules like "only n trades per day," or "$n profit per day," or "only n hours of trading per day." I still have hard and fast rules about my stops and my daily loss limit, but I'm working more on developing my abilities rather than trying to develop a system.
A review of the trading week
In May I bounced around quite a bit between markets and trading styles trying to find the "right thing" for me. I don't like to be scattered and/or inconsistent, but I think it helped me to see what does seem a little more "right" for me. And that seems to be the basic concept that started this whole exercise. So I'm back to trading the ES in a similar way as before.
This may not end up being the "right thing," but for now it's what makes the most sense to me and the thing that I feel the most confidence in. Although I know how long a month of trading can really be now, I'm planning to be consistent with this basic methodology for the month of June to see what I can learn and accomplish.
This past week I didn't try to force myself to "take every setup," but instead took a few trades each day when I thought I had an idea of what price might be trying to do. I made some changes to the indicators/indexes I'm watching and the timeframes of some of my charts.
I feel like I'm creating some structure now with regard to my trading business and my trading style.
Friday, May 31, 2013
Training Day 78
Mission Plan: In development
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
SitRep
08:30 Unanticipated things going on this morning and late to my desk, so I'm a little frazzled.
Trade #279
08:32 Long. Poor entry (in too early) due to being a little frazzled. Long after price tested Wednesday's close and extreme low TICK reading. Also favorable conditions on my charts/indicators.
08:34 Because of my poor entry, I took excess heat and price came within 1 tick of my stop.
08:35 Price rallied and I trailed my stop up a couple of times and it's now at breakeven.
08:36 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
SitRep
08:30 Unanticipated things going on this morning and late to my desk, so I'm a little frazzled.
Trade #279
08:32 Long. Poor entry (in too early) due to being a little frazzled. Long after price tested Wednesday's close and extreme low TICK reading. Also favorable conditions on my charts/indicators.
08:34 Because of my poor entry, I took excess heat and price came within 1 tick of my stop.
08:35 Price rallied and I trailed my stop up a couple of times and it's now at breakeven.
08:36 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Trade the ES the best I can for now and continue to work on developing my trading plan.
- Outcome: One and done today. I'm happy to be positive for the day and for the week, so I'm finished for the day.
- Observations: I was still distracted by some other things, but there were a couple more situations that I was able to recognize as opportunities while they were happening, and that makes me feel good.
...
MyTraining
Thursday, May 30, 2013
Training Day 77
Mission Plan: In development
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #275
08:36 Long.
08:39 Trailed stop up a couple of times.
08:40 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #276
09:11 Short.
09:13 Trailed stop down.
09:15 Stopped out. -3 ticks.
Trade #277
09:15 Short again right away because price only took out my stop by 1 tick and never reached my original stop level, and I believe the opportunity is still valid.
09:15 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #278
09:51 Long. Thought I was finished for the day, but I watched TICK spike down very low along with oversold readings on my stochastics.
09:57 I moved my stop up several times because TICK was getting pretty high and my stochastics were already in overbought territory.
10:00 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
Theater of Operation: Echo Sierra Mike Three
Trade #275
08:36 Long.
08:39 Trailed stop up a couple of times.
08:40 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #276
09:11 Short.
09:13 Trailed stop down.
09:15 Stopped out. -3 ticks.
Trade #277
09:15 Short again right away because price only took out my stop by 1 tick and never reached my original stop level, and I believe the opportunity is still valid.
09:15 Target reached. +6 ticks.
Trade #278
09:51 Long. Thought I was finished for the day, but I watched TICK spike down very low along with oversold readings on my stochastics.
09:57 I moved my stop up several times because TICK was getting pretty high and my stochastics were already in overbought territory.
10:00 Target reached. +6 ticks.
AAR
- Objective: Trade the ES the best I can for now and continue to work on developing my trading plan.
- Outcome: Four trades for three winners.
- Observations: I'm using my original "setup" less and less. I seem to be using my ideas of what price might be trying to do (in the very short term) along with my indicators to make decisions rather than trying to execute a mechanical setup.
...
MyTraining
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